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https://github.com/codahale/usl4j

A reasonably complete implementation of the Universal Scalability Law model.
https://github.com/codahale/usl4j

capacity-planning java java-8 scalability universal-scalability-law usl

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A reasonably complete implementation of the Universal Scalability Law model.

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README

        

# usl4j

[![CircleCI](https://circleci.com/gh/codahale/usl4j.svg?style=svg)](https://circleci.com/gh/codahale/usl4j)

usl4j is Java modeler for [Dr. Neil Gunther][NJG]'s [Universal Scalability Law][USL] as described by
[Baron Schwartz][BS] in his book [Practical Scalability Analysis with the Universal Scalability
Law][PSA].

Given a handful of measurements of any two [Little's Law][LL] parameters--throughput, latency, and
concurrency--the [USL][USL] allows you to make predictions about any of those parameters' values
given an arbitrary value for any another parameter. For example, given a set of measurements of
concurrency and throughput, the [USL][USL] will allow you to predict what a system's average latency
will look like at a particular throughput, or how many servers you'll need to process requests and
stay under your SLA's latency requirements.

The model coefficients and predictions should be within 0.02% of those listed in the book.

## Add to your project

```xml

com.codahale
usl4j
0.7.0

```

It depends on [DDogleg Numerics][DDogleg] for least-squares regression.

*Note: module name for Java 9+ is `com.codahale.usl4j`.*

## How to use this

As an example, consider doing load testing and capacity planning for an HTTP server. To model the
behavior of the system using the [USL][USL], you must first gather a set of measurements of the
system. These measurements must be of two of the three parameters of [Little's Law][LL]: mean
response time (in seconds), throughput (in requests per second), and concurrency (i.e. the number of
concurrent clients).

Because response time tends to be a property of load (i.e. it rises as throughput or concurrency
rises), the dependent variable in your tests should be mean response time. This leaves either
throughput or concurrency as your independent variable, but thanks to [Little's Law][LL] it doesn't
matter which one you use. For the purposes of discussion, let's say you measure throughput as a
function of the number of concurrent clients working at a fixed rate (e.g. you used
[`wrk2`][wrk2]).

After your load testing is done, you should have a set of measurements shaped like this:

|concurrency|throughput|
|-----------|----------|
| 1| 955.16|
| 2| 1878.91|
| 3| 2688.01|
| 4| 3548.68|
| 5| 4315.54|
| 6| 5130.43|
| 7| 5931.37|
| 8| 6531.08|

For simplicity's sake, let's assume you're storing this as a `double[][]`. Now you can build a model
and begin estimating things:

```java
import com.codahale.usl4j.Measurement;
import com.codahale.usl4j.Model;
import java.util.Arrays;

class Example {
void buildModel() {
final double[][] points = {{1, 955.16}, {2, 1878.91}, {3, 2688.01}}; // etc.

// Map the points to measurements of concurrency and throughput, then build a model from them.
final Model model = Arrays.stream(points)
.map(Measurement.ofConcurrency()::andThroughput)
.collect(Model.toModel());
for (int i = 10; i < 200; i+=10) {
System.out.printf("At %d workers, expect %f req/sec\n", i, model.throughputAtConcurrency(i));
}
}
}
```

## Performance

Building models is pretty fast:

```
Benchmark (size) Mode Cnt Score Error Units
Benchmarks.build 10 avgt 5 0.507 ± 0.061 us/op
Benchmarks.build 100 avgt 5 1.242 ± 0.266 us/op
Benchmarks.build 1000 avgt 5 7.499 ± 0.157 us/op
Benchmarks.build 10000 avgt 5 72.321 ± 2.681 us/op
```

## Further reading

I strongly recommend [Practical Scalability Analysis with the Universal Scalability Law][PSA], a
free e-book by [Baron Schwartz][BS], author of [High Performance MySQL][MySQL] and CEO of
[VividCortex][VC]. Trying to use this library without actually understanding the concepts behind
[Little's Law][LL], [Amdahl's Law][AL], and the [Universal Scalability Law][USL] will be difficult
and potentially misleading.

I also [wrote a blog post about this library][usl4j].

## License

Copyright © 2017 Coda Hale

Distributed under the Apache License 2.0.

[NJG]: http://www.perfdynamics.com/Bio/njg.html
[AL]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amdahl%27s_law
[LL]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little%27s_law
[PSA]: https://www.vividcortex.com/resources/universal-scalability-law/
[USL]: http://www.perfdynamics.com/Manifesto/USLscalability.html
[BS]: https://www.xaprb.com/
[MySQL]: http://shop.oreilly.com/product/0636920022343.do
[VC]: https://www.vividcortex.com/
[DDogleg]: http://ddogleg.org/
[wrk2]: https://github.com/giltene/wrk2
[usl4j]: https://codahale.com/usl4j-and-you/