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https://github.com/elfi-dev/elfi

ELFI - Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference
https://github.com/elfi-dev/elfi

bayesian bayesian-inference inference likelihood-free python simulator statistics

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ELFI - Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference

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README

        

**Version 0.8.7 released!** See the [CHANGELOG](CHANGELOG.rst) and [notebooks](https://github.com/elfi-dev/notebooks).

ELFI - Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference
===========================================

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ELFI is a statistical software package written in Python for likelihood-free inference (LFI) such as Approximate
Bayesian Computation ([ABC](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Approximate_Bayesian_computation)).
The term LFI refers to a family of inference methods that replace the use of the likelihood function with a data
generating simulator function. ELFI features an easy to use generative modeling syntax and supports parallelized
inference out of the box.

Currently implemented LFI methods:
- ABC Rejection sampler
- Sequential Monte Carlo ABC sampler
- SMC-ABC sampler with [adaptive threshold selection](https://projecteuclid.org/journals/bayesian-analysis/advance-publication/Adaptive-Approximate-Bayesian-Computation-Tolerance-Selection/10.1214/20-BA1211.full)
- SMC-ABC sampler with [adaptive distance](https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ba/1460641065)
- [Bayesian Optimization for Likelihood-Free Inference (BOLFI)](http://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/v17/15-017.html)
- [Robust Optimisation Monte Carlo (ROMC)](https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.00670)
- [Bayesian Optimization for Likelihood-Free Inference by Ratio Estimation (BOLFIRE)](https://helda.helsinki.fi/handle/10138/305039)
- [Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood (BSL)](https://doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2017.1302882)

Other notable included algorithms and methods:
- Bayesian Optimization
- [No-U-Turn-Sampler](http://jmlr.org/papers/volume15/hoffman14a/hoffman14a.pdf), a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo MCMC sampler

ELFI also integrates tools for visualization, model comparison, diagnostics and post-processing.

See examples under [notebooks](https://github.com/elfi-dev/notebooks) to get started. Full
documentation can be found at http://elfi.readthedocs.io/. Limited user-support may be
asked from elfi-support.at.hiit.fi, but the
[Gitter chat](https://gitter.im/elfi-dev/elfi?utm_source=share-link&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=share-link)
is preferable.

Installation with pip
---------------------

ELFI requires Python 3.9 or greater. You can install ELFI by typing in your terminal:

```
pip install elfi
```
or on some platforms using Python 3 specific syntax:
```
pip3 install elfi
```

Note that in some environments you may need to first install `numpy` with
`pip install numpy`. This is due to our dependency to `GPy` that uses `numpy` in its installation.

Installation from conda-forge
-----------------------------

Installing `elfi` from the `conda-forge` channel can be achieved by adding `conda-forge` to your channels with:

```
conda config --add channels conda-forge
```

Once the `conda-forge` channel has been enabled, `elfi` can be installed with:

```
conda install elfi
```

It is possible to list all of the versions of `elfi` available on your platform with:

```
conda search elfi --channel conda-forge
```

### Optional dependencies

- `graphviz` for drawing graphical models (needs [Graphviz](http://www.graphviz.org)), highly recommended

### Installing Python 3

If you are new to Python, perhaps the simplest way to install a specific version of Python
is with [Anaconda](https://www.continuum.io/downloads).

### Virtual environment using Anaconda

It is very practical to create a virtual Python environment. This way you won't interfere
with your default Python environment and can easily use different versions of Python
in different projects. You can create a virtual environment for ELFI using anaconda with:

```
conda create -n elfi python=3.9 numpy
source activate elfi
pip install elfi
```

### Docker container

A simple Dockerfile with Jupyter support is also provided. This is especially suitable for running tests. Please see [Docker documentation](https://docs.docker.com/) for details.

```
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/elfi-dev/elfi.git
cd elfi
make docker-build # builds the image with requirements for dev
make docker # runs a container with live elfi directory
```

To open a Jupyter notebook, run
```
jupyter notebook --ip 0.0.0.0 --no-browser --allow-root
```
within the container and then on host open the page http://localhost:8888.

### Potential problems with installation

ELFI depends on several other Python packages, which have their own dependencies.
Resolving these may sometimes go wrong:
- If you receive an error about missing `numpy`, please install it first.
- If you receive an error about `yaml.load`, install `pyyaml`.
- On OS X with Anaconda virtual environment say `conda install python.app` and then use
`pythonw` instead of `python`.
- Note that ELFI requires Python 3.9 or greater so try `pip3 install elfi`.
- Make sure your Python installation meets the versions listed in `requirements.txt`.

Citation
--------

If you wish to cite ELFI, please use the paper in [JMLR](http://www.jmlr.org/papers/v19/17-374.html):

```
@article{JMLR:v19:17-374,
author = {Jarno Lintusaari and Henri Vuollekoski and Antti Kangasr{\"a}{\"a}si{\"o} and Kusti Skyt{\'e}n and Marko J{\"a}rvenp{\"a}{\"a} and Pekka Marttinen and Michael U. Gutmann and Aki Vehtari and Jukka Corander and Samuel Kaski},
title = {ELFI: Engine for Likelihood-Free Inference},
journal = {Journal of Machine Learning Research},
year = {2018},
volume = {19},
number = {16},
pages = {1-7},
url = {http://jmlr.org/papers/v19/17-374.html}
}
```