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https://github.com/emjun/covid_tracking

Data analyses for tracking COVID 19 cases, testing, and mortality
https://github.com/emjun/covid_tracking

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Data analyses for tracking COVID 19 cases, testing, and mortality

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Data source: https://covidtracking.com/ \
High-level Hypothesis statement: "Higher positive test rate and/or low numbers of tests would imply a faster rate of growth later in the positive cases curve."

This hypothesis can be broken down into Hypothesis A and Hypothesis B, below.

**Hypothesis A:** "Higher positive test rate implies faster rate of growth later in the positive cases curve"
- `hypo_a.ipynb`: Currently, Tea does not support modeling (working on providing this soon!),
so I tested a simpler hypothesis: Higher positive test counts imply higher
growth rate (as measured by increase in positive tests from yesterday, which is a metric reported in the data).

*To be totally honest, I'm not sure this is a totally accurate operationalization of the original hypothesis, even without modeling capacity.*

**Hypothesis B:** "Low numbers of tests would imply a faster rate of growth later in the positive cases curve"
- `hypo_b.ipynb`: Very similar to Hypothesis A, above. The main difference is that total number of tests, instead of positive test cases only, are considered.

**Hypthesis C:** Higher testing rates is positively related to higher death count.

Collaborators: Ben Zorn, Emery Berger