https://github.com/iamhankai/euro2016predictor
Soccer Matches Predictor using Machine Learning
https://github.com/iamhankai/euro2016predictor
machine-learning scikit-learn soccer
Last synced: 8 months ago
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Soccer Matches Predictor using Machine Learning
- Host: GitHub
- URL: https://github.com/iamhankai/euro2016predictor
- Owner: iamhankai
- Created: 2016-06-08T16:21:52.000Z (about 10 years ago)
- Default Branch: master
- Last Pushed: 2017-02-12T14:44:36.000Z (over 9 years ago)
- Last Synced: 2025-04-06T05:23:42.134Z (about 1 year ago)
- Topics: machine-learning, scikit-learn, soccer
- Language: Python
- Homepage:
- Size: 278 KB
- Stars: 42
- Watchers: 6
- Forks: 23
- Open Issues: 1
-
Metadata Files:
- Readme: README.md
Awesome Lists containing this project
README
## Euro Cup 2016 Predictor
Simply, this predictor is based on typical "feature+classifier" machine learning framework.
- feature: ELO rating, win/draw/lose rate, goal/lost-goal since 1920
- label: goal difference between team1 and team2
- classifier: Random Forest Classifier
The code is a little in chaos due to limited time. Maybe I'll update it.
## Run
environment: Python2.7 with scikit-learn package installed;
1. run `group_stage.py` to get group stage results (./result/nation_point.csv and ./result/promoted_nation.csv);
2. run `knockout_stage.py` to get final results (./result/knockout_result.csv).
## Prediction Results
#### Champion
**Germany** 
#### Knockout Stage
| round | team1 | team2 | result |
|-------|-------------|-------------|--------|
| 16 | france | ukraine | 3 |
| 16 | spain | italy | 1 |
| 16 | england | romania | 1 |
| 16 | portugal | ireland | 3 |
| 16 | germany | romania | 2 |
| 16 | belgium | czechia | 1 |
| 16 | switzerland | poland | 2 |
| 16 | slovakia | austria | 1 |
| 8 | france | spain | 1 |
| 8 | england | portugal | 3 |
| 8 | germany | belgium | 1 |
| 8 | switzerland | slovakia | 1 |
| 4 | france | england | 1 |
| 4 | germany | switzerland | 2 |
| 2 | france | germany | -1 |
#### Group Stage
**Standings**
| group | team | points | goal difference |
|-------|------------------|--------|-----------------|
| a | switzerland | 7 | 3 |
| a | france | 5 | 1 |
| a | romania | 4 | 1 |
| a | albania | 0 | -5 |
| b | england | 5 | 3 |
| b | slovakia | 5 | 2 |
| b | wales | 2 | -2 |
| b | russia | 2 | -3 |
| c | germany | 7 | 4 |
| c | ukraine | 4 | -1 |
| c | poland | 4 | -1 |
| c | northern ireland | 1 | -2 |
| d | spain | 9 | 3 |
| d | czechia | 4 | 1 |
| d | turkey | 2 | -1 |
| d | croatia | 1 | -3 |
| e | belgium | 7 | 2 |
| e | ireland | 5 | 1 |
| e | italy | 4 | 0 |
| e | sweden | 0 | -3 |
| f | portugal | 9 | 6 |
| f | austria | 6 | 3 |
| f | hungary | 3 | -4 |
| f | iceland | 0 | -5 |
**Matches Details**
>((team1,team2),result)
(('france', 'romania'), 0)
(('france', 'albania'), 1)
(('france', 'switzerland'), 0)
(('romania', 'albania'), 2)
(('romania', 'switzerland'), -1)
(('albania', 'switzerland'), -2)
(('england', 'russia'), 3)
(('england', 'wales'), 0)
(('england', 'slovakia'), 0)
(('russia', 'wales'), 0)
(('russia', 'slovakia'), 0)
(('wales', 'slovakia'), -2)
(('germany', 'ukraine'), 2)
(('germany', 'poland'), 2)
(('germany', 'northern ireland'), 0)
(('ukraine', 'poland'), 0)
(('ukraine', 'northern ireland'), 1)
(('poland', 'northern ireland'), 1)
(('spain', 'czechia'), 1)
(('spain', 'turkey'), 1)
(('spain', 'croatia'), 1)
(('czechia', 'turkey'), 0)
(('czechia', 'croatia'), 2)
(('turkey', 'croatia'), 0)
(('belgium', 'italy'), 1)
(('belgium', 'ireland'), 0)
(('belgium', 'sweden'), 1)
(('italy', 'ireland'), 0)
(('italy', 'sweden'), 1)
(('ireland', 'sweden'), 1)
(('portugal', 'iceland'), 2)
(('portugal', 'austria'), 1)
(('portugal', 'hungary'), 3)
(('iceland', 'austria'), -2)
(('iceland', 'hungary'), -1)
(('austria', 'hungary'), 2)
## Thanks
historcal data from [fedebayle](https://github.com/fedebayle/brazil2014_learning/blob/master/rawdata_elo.txt)
euro2016 data from [nowaycomputer](https://github.com/nowaycomputer/euro2016/blob/master/data.csv)
promotion rules of euro2016 from [Sohu](http://sports.sohu.com/20151014/n423094484.shtml)