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https://github.com/kenzaxtazi/bcm4rcm

Robust Bayesian committee machines for regional climate model ensemble learning
https://github.com/kenzaxtazi/bcm4rcm

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Robust Bayesian committee machines for regional climate model ensemble learning

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# bcm4rcm

Robust Bayesian committee machines for regional climate model ensemble learning.

Tazi K., Kim S.W.P., Girona-Mata M., & Turner R.E. (2025). Refined climatologies of future precipitation over High Mountain Asia using probabilistic ensemble learning. [arXiv preprint arXiv:2501.15690](https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15690)

## Code

### experiments
* `bcm_preds`: scripts and visualisations for the robust Bayesian committee machine (BCM)
* `ensemble_learning`: scripts and visualisations for the Wassertein ditance calculations and weight optimisations
* `moe_preds`: scripts and visualisations for the mixture of experts (MoE) and equally weighted mixture model (EW) sampling
* `validation`: scripts and visualisations for the MoE validation

### models
* `guepard_baselines`: updated BCM code from the `guepard` library

### plots
* `hma_map`: map of study area with with subregions

### utils
* `areal_plots`: functions to help plot the maps
* `process_data`: functions to process raw RCM data to make files over desired time periods

## Data
The CORDEX-WAS data are available through the [Earth System Federation Grid nodes](https://esgf-metagrid.cloud.dkrz.de) and the APHRODITE data through [APHRODITE's Water Resources website](http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki-u.ac.jp/download/). The data for the final results analysed in the paper are found on [Zenondo](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14837272)