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https://github.com/microprediction/m6

M6-Forecasting competition
https://github.com/microprediction/m6

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M6-Forecasting competition

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README

        

# M6 Competition

Not everything here is subject to posterior bias :)

- See [PRIOR.md](https://github.com/microprediction/m6/blob/main/PRIOR.md) for prev version of this README.md

### Official rules & contest site

- [Contest site](https://mofc.unic.ac.cy/the-m6-competition/)
- [Rules](https://github.com/microprediction/m6/blob/main/docs/M6-forecasting-competition-Guidelines-20210908.pdf) as of Oct 7, 2021
- [Rule clarifications](https://github.com/microprediction/m6/blob/main/docs/clarifications.md)

### Methodologies of top performers

- See [medium reading list](https://medium.com/@microprediction/list/m6-financial-forecasting-competition-2d50ce33b3bd)
- See [M6-methods](https://github.com/Mcompetitions/M6-methods/tree/main) repo maintained by

### Organizers take

- See [working paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.13357)
- [Call for papers](https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/international-journal-of-forecasting/about/call-for-papers#the-m6-forecasting-competition) before July 2024
- Submit [here](https://www2.cloud.editorialmanager.com/ijf/default2.aspx)

### My take on the contest

- See [article](https://medium.com/geekculture/the-options-market-beat-94-of-participants-in-the-m6-financial-forecasting-contest-fa4f47f57d33)

### Data

- See [data](https://github.com/microprediction/m6/tree/main/data) including submissions.csv which contains all submissions.