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https://github.com/nafisalawalidris/building-a-linear-regression-model-to-predict-diabetes-progression

Predict Diabetes Progression: A linear regression model to predict diabetes progression using patient attributes. Collaborate to improve predictions. Jupyter Notebook implementation.
https://github.com/nafisalawalidris/building-a-linear-regression-model-to-predict-diabetes-progression

collaborative-development data-science diabetes-progression jupyter-notebook linear-regression machine-learning medical-data-analysis predictive-modeling

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Predict Diabetes Progression: A linear regression model to predict diabetes progression using patient attributes. Collaborate to improve predictions. Jupyter Notebook implementation.

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README

        

Building a Linear Regression Model to Predict Diabetes Progression



In this project, we will be building a linear regression model to predict the progression of diabetes in patients
based on various medical attributes. We have an anonymized dataset of past diabetic patients, and our goal is to
create a model that can help the doctors at Greene City Physicians Group (GCPG) predict the disease progression in
patients.

Data File



The dataset is available in the Jupyter Notebook file LinearRegression.ipynb. It contains the following
attributes:




  • age: The patient's age in years.


  • sex: The patient's sex.


  • bmi: The patient's body mass index (BMI).


  • bp: The patient's average blood pressure.


  • s1-s6: Six different blood serum measurements taken from the patient.


  • target: A measurement of the disease's progression one year after a baseline.

Scenario



GCPG is a medical practice that provides treatment in various fields, including endocrinology. The endocrinologists
at GCPG treat hundreds of different diabetic patients, helping them manage the disease. Preventing the disease from
reaching more severe stages is crucial, and the doctors are interested in predicting when a patient is at risk of
progressing to later stages.

Approach



Since the target variable (target) is an ordinal numeric value, we will create a linear regression
model to predict the disease progression. Linear regression is a suitable technique for predicting continuous
numeric values.

Steps Involved



  1. Load and Explore the Data: We will load the dataset and explore its contents to gain insights into the data.

  2. Data Preprocessing: Perform necessary data preprocessing steps such as handling missing values, encoding
    categorical variables, and scaling numeric features.

  3. Correlation Analysis: Examine the correlation between each feature and the target variable to identify relevant
    features for the model.

  4. Feature Selection: Select the features that have a strong correlation with the target variable for training the
    model.

  5. Split the Data: Divide the dataset into training and testing sets to evaluate the model's performance.

  6. Build the Linear Regression Model: Create a linear regression model using the selected features and train it on
    the training data.

  7. Make Predictions: Use the trained model to make predictions on the test data.

  8. Evaluate the Model: Calculate the Mean Squared Error (MSE) to measure the performance of the model.

  9. Visualize Results: Plot lines of best fit for the features that have the strongest correlation with disease
    progression.

Conclusion



By building a linear regression model, we can help the endocrinologists at GCPG predict the progression of diabetes
in their patients. With accurate predictions, early interventions can be provided to prevent the disease from
reaching more severe stages, improving patient outcomes and overall healthcare management.

Results



The linear regression model successfully predicts the disease progression in diabetic patients. The Mean Squared
Error (MSE) was calculated to measure the model's performance, and the results indicate its effectiveness in
predicting the target variable.