https://github.com/seabbs/ecdc-weekly-growth-forecasts

COVID-19 cases forecasts for the ECDC Forecast Hub
https://github.com/seabbs/ecdc-weekly-growth-forecasts

Last synced: 23 days ago
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COVID-19 cases forecasts for the ECDC Forecast Hub

• Host: GitHub
• URL: https://github.com/seabbs/ecdc-weekly-growth-forecasts
• Owner: seabbs
• License: other
• Created: 2021-12-30T21:38:36.000Z (about 3 years ago)
• Default Branch: main
• Last Pushed: 2023-12-10T17:29:08.000Z (about 1 year ago)
• Last Synced: 2024-12-24T03:28:05.306Z (about 1 month ago)
• Language: R
• Size: 941 KB
• Stars: 2
• Watchers: 2
• Forks: 4
• Open Issues: 1
• Metadata Files:
  • Readme: README.md
  • License: LICENSE

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README

        
# COVID-19 cases forecasts for the ECDC Forecast Hub

A Bayesian autoregressive model using weekly incidence data designed to run as a Github action. Both cases and the growth rate are assumed to be AR(1) processes with the growth rate being differenced and scaled by a decay parameter. The model is implemented using the [forecast.vocs R package](https://epiforecasts.io/forecast.vocs).