https://github.com/0xperp/awesome-prediction-markets

Awesome Prediction Markets
https://github.com/0xperp/awesome-prediction-markets

List: awesome-prediction-markets

prediction-markets

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Awesome Prediction Markets

• Host: GitHub
• URL: https://github.com/0xperp/awesome-prediction-markets
• Owner: 0xperp
• Created: 2023-07-29T19:55:39.000Z (about 1 year ago)
• Default Branch: main
• Last Pushed: 2023-08-07T00:33:27.000Z (about 1 year ago)
• Last Synced: 2024-05-21T23:01:56.451Z (4 months ago)
• Topics: prediction-markets
• Homepage: https://0xperp.github.io/awesome-prediction-markets/
• Size: 1.95 KB
• Stars: 22
• Watchers: 2
• Forks: 1
• Open Issues: 0
• Metadata Files:
  • Readme: README.md

Awesome Lists containing this project

• ultimate-awesome - awesome-prediction-markets - Awesome Prediction Markets. (Other Lists / PowerShell Lists)

README

        
# Awesome Prediction Markets

Overview of of various Prediciton Markets along with selected reading, threads, and various code repositories

## Markets 

- [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/ma) 

    - Polygon, USDC

- [Manifold](manifold.markets) 

    - Offchain and no real money

- [Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/) 

    - CFTC Regulated so via bank

- [Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/home/)

- [Predictit](https://www.predictit.org/)

- [Insight Predictions](https://insightprediction.com/)

- [Hedgehog](https://hedgehog.markets/)

    - on solana, has a nice mobile app

- [Aver](aver.exchange)

- [Pascal](https://www.pascal.fi/) 

    - Solana, USDC (but devnet)

- [Futuur](https://futuur.com/)

- [Infer](https://www.infer-pub.com/)

- [smarkets](https://smarkets.com)

- [Pulse Markets](https://www.pulsemarkets.org/)

    - On near uses flux protocol for oracles

- [Polkamarkets](https://www.polkamarkets.com/)

    - on polkadot

- [Omen](https://omen.eth.limo/)

    - no longer active but here is an [ipfs link](https://bafybeidaqe523nwbyvhvd74jx57eqge2ezkz2lvfofrkczfs5df5jxq33m.ipfs.dweb.link/#/liquidity)

## Selected Reading

- [Prediction Market FAQ](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/prediction-market-faq)

- [Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/information-markets-decision-markets)

- [Play Money and Reputation Systems](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/play-money-and-reputation-systems?s=r)

- [The Passage Of Polymarket](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-passage-of-polymarket?s=r)

- [ACX Grant Results](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-results?s=r)

- [Mantic Monday: Dogs in Wizard hats](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-dogs-in-wizard-hats)

- [Market Mechanics](https://manifoldmarkets.substack.com/p/above-the-fold-market-mechanics?s=r)

- [Borrow away!](https://manifoldmarkets.substack.com/p/above-the-fold-borrow-away?s=r)

- [Invasion Edition](https://manifoldmarkets.substack.com/p/above-the-fold-invasion-edition?s=r)

- [Above the Fold](https://manifoldmarkets.substack.com/)

- [The Making of a Top Forecaster](https://www.infer-pub.com/blog/top-forecaster-techniques)

- [Amplyifing Research via Forecaster Part 1](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cLtdcxu9E4noRSons) and [Part 2](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FeE9nR7RPZrLtsYzD/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting)

- [Incentive problems with forecasting](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tyNrj2wwHSnb4tiMk/incentive-problems-with-current-forecasting-competitions)

- [Maximum Truth: Betting on the Elections](https://maximumtruth.substack.com/p/deep-dive-on-predicting-elections)

## Cool Websites

- [BaseRateTimes](https://www.baseratetimes.com/) - News through the lens of various prediction markets

- [MetaForecast](https://metaforecast.org/) - Aggregator

- [loki.red Polymarket Stats](https://www.loki.red/polymarket/)

- [Good Judgement](https://www.gjopen.com/)

## Respositories

- [Polymarket Info](https://github.com/PolyTrader/polymarket-info)

- [Polymarket Stats](https://github.com/bodino/PolymarketStats)

- [Polymarket Trader](https://github.com/elielieli909/polymarket-marketmaking)

- [Manifold Market Maker](https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/market-maker)

- [Manifold Market Maker that uses OpenAI to answer questions](https://github.com/neverix/nevbot)

## Lists

- [0xperp](https://twitter.com/i/lists/1684720466500431872?s=20)

- [Zeitgeist](https://twitter.com/i/lists/1506265087727837189?s=20)

- [Insight](https://twitter.com/i/lists/1495912681827704835?s=20)