https://github.com/benmaier/boarding_school_sir

Fit SIR dynamics to the prevalence curve of an H1N1 outbreak of a British boarding school in 1978.
https://github.com/benmaier/boarding_school_sir

boarding data disease epidemiology modeling school spreading

Last synced: 22 days ago
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Fit SIR dynamics to the prevalence curve of an H1N1 outbreak of a British boarding school in 1978.

• Host: GitHub
• URL: https://github.com/benmaier/boarding_school_sir
• Owner: benmaier
• License: mit
• Created: 2018-04-26T19:42:11.000Z (over 6 years ago)
• Default Branch: master
• Last Pushed: 2018-04-26T20:32:31.000Z (over 6 years ago)
• Last Synced: 2024-10-11T11:06:20.082Z (about 1 month ago)
• Topics: boarding, data, disease, epidemiology, modeling, school, spreading
• Language: Python
• Size: 59.6 KB
• Stars: 1
• Watchers: 1
• Forks: 0
• Open Issues: 0
• Metadata Files:
  • Readme: README.md
  • License: LICENSE

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README

        
# Influenza at a British Boarding School

In January 1978, a boarding school hosting `N = 763` boys in northern England had an outbreak of influenza H1N1. For details see 

[Influenza in a boarding school, British Medical Journal, 4 March 1978](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1603269/pdf/brmedj00115-0064.pdf).

You can find the temporal prevalence data in the file `british_boarding_school.txt`. The data was extracted from the original figure using [EasyNData](https://www.physik.hu-berlin.de/de/pep/tools) and is hence not exact.

Using the program `boarding.py` one can fit an SIR-system to the data using a transmission rate `1.66/day` and a recovery rate of `1/(2.2 days)` as described in 

[Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals, Matt J. Keeling & Pejman Rohani](https://press.princeton.edu/titles/8459.html).